Our measure of negative campaigning is the attack propensity score, which simply states the percentage of all campaign statements that attacked the opponents. Here’s the year-by-year breakdown for each party:
Democrats Republicans
1960 65.6% 45.0%
1964 64.6% 66.3%
1968 57.1% 49.6%
1972 64.1% 49.7%
1976 47.2% 41.6%
1980 54.5% 58.6%
1984 66.0% 38.7%
1988 61.5% 57.5%
1992 59.6% 65.8%
1996 51.8% 48.4%
2000 36.7% 53.2%
2004 71.9% 52.9%
2008 45.6% 37.5%
. . . . Bottom line: Although the 2008 presidential campaign has already emerged as one of the oddest in modern times, its negativity is unusual only by virtue of being less, not more, in evidence.Take a look at the article; but what this approach doesn't measure is the degree or quality of negativity, merely the crude quantity of negative messages. I wonder if there's any research that gets at that kind of question (that is: surely not all attacks or all lies are created equal). I need to take another look at the book (not handy at the moment), but I don't think that they distinguish between "attack" and "contrast" statements or ads. . . .
UPDATE: Compare with this
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